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  3. When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

4.0% (24u)AITechOne-Off20d
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Before July
Before July 20%-4.0%
Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 10,6

Liquiditeit

€ 150,6

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

14.0% / 20.0%

Spread

42.9%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden

25 mrt 26, 14:001 jul 26, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Before July20%

Regels

If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count.
  • If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regels

If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count.
  • If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.