KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2028 70%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
42 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 410,6
Lage liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 43 minuten geleden
8 jul 26, 0:001 okt 26, 14:00
Trends
Regels
If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and the named outcome. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.
Open markten
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt51%
- No change-4.0pt47.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 59,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,2 mln.
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+6.0pt51.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45.7%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt0.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt50.2%
- Fed maintains rate-5.0pt44%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 247,7K
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before July 2027+2.0pt80%
- Before 2028-1.0pt80%
- Before 2027+7.0pt71%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,8 mln.
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt66.3%
- No-1.0pt33.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 7,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 43,9K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.4pt88%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt8%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt3%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed decision in September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor??
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 1, 2028 op 70% per 31 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? afgewikkeld?
- When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and the named outcome. then the market resolves to Yes.