KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2027 21%+1.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 7,8
Liquiditeit
€ 9,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
17.0% / 21.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
7 jul 26, 16:37 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Nigel FarageThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersReform UKCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
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+38 extra uitkomsten
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- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader??
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 1, 2027 op 21% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? afgewikkeld?
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.