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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd31 jul 26, 00:53 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Nigel Farage was under investigation by the UK Parliament's Standards Commissioner before resigning as an MP to stand in the Clacton byelection on 13th August 2026.
- Should he be re-elected, the investigation will resume.
- Depending on the outcome of the investigation he may then face a second byelection.
- Resolves YES if Nigel Farage is a candidate in a second Clacton byelection between 13th August and 31st December 2026.
- Resolves NO if there is no second byelection, or if one does take place but Farage is not officially listed as a candidate.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 62% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Nigel Farage was under investigation by the UK Parliament's Standards Commissioner before resigning as an MP to stand in the Clacton byelection on 13th August 2026.