Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.9%
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Bijgewerkt 19 minuten geleden
31 jul 26, 00:53 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWill a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketRegels
Nigel Farage was under investigation by the UK Parliament's Standards Commissioner before resigning as an MP to stand in the Clacton byelection on 13th August 2026.
- Should he be re-elected, the investigation will resume.
- Depending on the outcome of the investigation he may then face a second byelection.
- Resolves YES if Nigel Farage is a candidate in a second Clacton byelection between 13th August and 31st December 2026.
- Resolves NO if there is no second byelection, or if one does take place but Farage is not officially listed as a candidate.
