KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k 19%+3.0ptKoploper van 12 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
56 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,6K
Liquiditeit
€ 2,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
5 sep 26, 20:00 UTC2 okt 26, 12:29 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 170,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExWill September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill U.S. nonfarm payroll employment decline in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
KalshiWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -182,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExRegels
If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- For all outcomes in this market, U3 refers to the single-decimal seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3), and NFP growth refers to the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment, as reported in thousands of jobs by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U3 uses ECONSTAT and NFP growth uses PAYROLLS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Open markten
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 247,7K
- 24u volume
- € 79,4K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 18,6K
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 131,3K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 13,1K
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,1K
- 24u volume
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Totaal volume
- € 379,1K
- 24u volume
- € 9,3K
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- CPI in November
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP?
- Kalshi prijst U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k op 19% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP afgewikkeld?
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP wordt naar verwachting op 2 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.