KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2027 63%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Before Jan 1, 2027 63%Marktkwaliteit
45 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 232,7
Liquiditeit
€ 647,4
Lage liquiditeitSpread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
24 sep 26, 02:00 UTC1 dec 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
If an Anthropic product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:AnthropicTechCrunchThe VergeArs TechnicaWiredReutersBloomberg TechnologyThe InformationThe Wall Street Journal Technology sectionVentureBeatEngadgetThe New York Times Technology sectionAssociated Press Technology coverageAxios Technology newsletterPolitico Technology coverage
- The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explicitly labeled as "beta," "test," "experimental," "preview," or "early access" or similar, and officially acknowledged by the company through announcements, documentation, or help pages.
- Implementation includes direct integration into the product's interface, automatic application to user accounts, user-initiated activation through official controls, API implementation, or policy changes that operationally enforce the function.
- Announcements without deployment, employee-only testing, technical documentation without implementation, and third-party additions without authorization do not qualify.
- The implementation must occur in the United States unless otherwise specified.
- If it meets these conditions, it counts from the first date it is live for users outside the company, including in a gradual rollout or a waitlist, invitation-only, or paid-tier release.
