KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansAt least 4bps 79%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
24 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0
Liquiditeit
€ 786
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
74.0% / 80.0%
Spread
8.1%
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
21 jun 26, 14:0029 jul 26, 20:14
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
At least 4bps79%
Volumetrend
$348 jul11d aan data25 jul
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If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 4bps, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The relevant series is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 “Market Yield on U.S.
- Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis.” H.15 is normally posted at 4:15 PM ET each business day.
- The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 value - July 28, 2026 value| × 100.
- For example, a move from 4.05% to 4.17% equals 12 basis points.
- If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 6bps, then the market resolves to Yes.