GeminiBeperkt geverifieerde gegevensHuidige impliciete kans
Gavin Newsom 17.5%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
51 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 313,1
Liquiditeit
€ 0
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
19 feb 26, 22:0210 nov 28, 0:00
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Gavin Newsom18%
Platforms vergelijken· Gavin Newsom
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste algemeen83% overeenkomst · auto | Hoog | 18% | 0pt | € 1 mln. | € 96,5 mln. | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Polymarket88% overeenkomst · auto | Hoog | 20% | +2pt | € 322,9K | € 64,6 mln. | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| GeminiDeze pagina | Gemiddeld | 18% | 0pt | € 313,1 | € 0 | 15 minuten geleden | |
 Myriad78% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 40% | +22pt | € 0 | € 0 | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Smarkets64% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 18% | 0pt | € 7,9 | € 0 | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Limitless94% overeenkomst · auto | Laag | 20% | +2pt | € 0 | € 0 | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Manifold Markets88% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 20% | +2pt | — | — | 46 dagen geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold Markets80% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 22% | +4pt | — | — | 18 dagen geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Limitless
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2j
19.7%
14.5%
9.3%
+3 extra uitkomsten
22 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 10,7K
24u volume€ 0
LIMITLESSOok beschikbaar op Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2j
20.8%
-0.2pt16.7%
+0.7pt14.6%
+125 extra uitkomsten
89 • Hoge kwaliteitStrakke spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 1,1 mld.
24u volume€ 322,9K
POLYMARKETOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1j
20%
10%
8%
+14 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling21 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0.7 pts2j
17.5%
-1.0pt14.6%
-2.0pt12.6%
+43 extra uitkomsten
89 • Hoge kwaliteitStrakke spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 142,6 mln.
24u volume€ 1 mln.
KALSHIOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2j
-0.2pt34.3%
-0.1pt21.7%
-0.1pt11.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling13 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Myriad
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
24.1 pts73j
+0.2pt39.6%
-0.2pt10.1%
-0.1pt8.4%
+29 extra uitkomsten
30 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 0
24u volume€ 0
MYRIADOok beschikbaar op Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
20%
17.9%
16.7%
+19 extra uitkomsten
22 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 9,2K
24u volume€ 7,9
SMARKETSRegels
2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- If the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$40.0k90.0%KALSHIKamala Harris — No4 uur geleden
KALSHIKamala Harris — No4 uur geleden$19.4k97.0%KALSHIMark Kelly — No9 uur geleden
KALSHIMark Kelly — No9 uur geleden$8.8k97.0%KALSHIMark Kelly — No9 uur geleden
KALSHIMark Kelly — No9 uur geleden$6.8k97.0%KALSHIMark Kelly — No9 uur geleden
KALSHIMark Kelly — No9 uur geleden$1.1k87.0%KALSHIJon Ossoff — No9 uur geleden
KALSHIJon Ossoff — No9 uur geleden$2.9k87.0%KALSHIJon Ossoff — No9 uur geleden
KALSHIJon Ossoff — No9 uur geleden$1.1k87.0%KALSHIJon Ossoff — No9 uur geleden
KALSHIJon Ossoff — No9 uur geleden$17.9k87.0%KALSHIJon Ossoff — No9 uur geleden
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2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- If the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()