How many votes will Van Hollen get on the first Senate leader ballot?
10.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing1mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
At least 8 · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Opgeslagen prijs
At least 8 86%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
At least 8 86%Marktkwaliteit
59 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,1K
Open interest
US$ 3,4K
Gemiddelde open interestBied / Laat
— / —
At least 8Spread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 25 minuten geleden
13 nov 26, 15:45 UTC3 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · At least 8
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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KalshiRegels
If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 16 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Senate DemocratsThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- The first ballot is the first ballot held by the Senate Democratic caucus to elect its leader for the 120th Congress. The count is the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on it, as reported by a Source Agency. The count is 0 if no ballot is held before Jan 3, 2027, including if the caucus elects its leader without one (for example by acclamation, voice vote or unanimous consent). A report that the leader was elected unanimously that gives no number and does not say a ballot was held counts as an election without a ballot, unless a Source Agency reports that a ballot was held. If Chris Van Hollen withdraws, the count is the number of votes cast for him on the first ballot, and 0 if none were cast. Only an exact number reported by a Source Agency counts; a range, a margin or an approximate number does not. If a ballot is held but no Source Agency reports the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen by the Expiration Date, the market resolves to the last fair price as solely determined by the Exchange. If Source Agencies report different counts, the count reported by the Source Agency listed first is used. The following do NOT count: Votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on a later ballot A motion or voice vote after a ballot to make the result unanimous Votes cast for any other candidate, or abstentions
Regels per uitkomst
- At least 8
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 8 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 12
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 12 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 16
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 16 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 20
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 20 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 24
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 24 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 22
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 22 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 32
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 32 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 28
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 28 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
