Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -1.5% in December 2026?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -1.5% in December 2026??

ForecastEx prijst Yes op 98% per 23 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -1.5% in December 2026? afgewikkeld?

Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -1.5% in December 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 29 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -1.5% in December 2026? afgewikkeld?

ForecastEx wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index December 2026.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+6.0pt93.1%
• 25 bps increase-5.0pt6.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 51,4 mln.

24u volume

€ 2,8 mln.

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-4.5pt76%
• No+4.5pt24%

Totaal volume

€ 888,6K

24u volume

€ 89,2K

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)69%
• 1 (25 bps)+3.0pt24%
• 3 (75 bps)-1.9pt7%

+3 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.2%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.3%+2.0pt98.5%

POLYMARKET

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

• 5.3%41%
• 5.4%-6.0pt35%
• 5.5%-12.1pt13%

+11 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike+3.0pt73.3%
• Hike–Pause–Pause+6.0pt23.8%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-7.0pt1%

+6 extra uitkomsten

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