PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 30 8%+0.6ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
27,8 €
Liquidità
991,7 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
1.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
19 feb 26, 20:45 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast, (50.77395633727591° N, 35.2597768488549° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Mercati aperti
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- 267,7K €
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- No+2.5pt69.3%
- Yes-2.5pt30.7%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by which date??
- Polymarket quota September 30 al 8% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by which date??
- Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast, (50.77395633727591° N, 35.2597768488549° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).