Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
0.5 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
2026 12%-0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
57 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
46,1 €
Liquidità
8,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
11
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
27 ott 25, 17:52 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill Hasan Piker Interview Gavin Newsom in 2026?
Manifold MarketsGavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.