Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 97.5%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto28 giu 24, 07:30 UTC6 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Hasan Piker Interview Gavin Newsom in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketGavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom completes his second term as Governor of California, which is scheduled to end on January 5, 2027.
- The market resolves to "No" if he leaves office for any reason before this date, including resignation, impeachment, or removal.
- Resolution Criteria
- Yes: Gavin Newsom remains Governor of California until January 5, 2027.
- No: Gavin Newsom leaves office before January 5, 2027.
- Resolution Sources
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 98% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California??
- Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California? dovrebbe risolversi il 6 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom completes his second term as Governor of California, which is scheduled to end on January 5, 2027.