Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

1.0% (24h)One-OffWeather7m

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 81%-0.0%

Qualita del mercato

71 / 100

Qualità media

Volume 24h

43,3 €

Liquidità

2,9K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

80.0% / 82.0%

Spread

2.5%

Spread stretto

Variazione 7g

-5.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

9 feb 26, 23:3110 gen 27, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes81%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.

Mercati Correlati

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

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2: 63%

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Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026

849 €

432 or less: 0.4%

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Engineered pandemic: 13.2%

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Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?

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Sì: 28.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

40,8 €

Genevieve: 4%

KALSHI

Natural Disaster in 2026?

37,4 €

Sì: 25%

POLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,702.01+1.68%

EthereumETH$1,655.40+1.08%

SolanaSOL$65.06+0.76%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.94%

XRPXRP$1.12-0.20%

BNBBNB$596.31+1.29%

Regole

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

1.0% (24h)One-OffWeather7m

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 81%-0.0%

Qualita del mercato

71 / 100

Qualità media

Volume 24h

43,3 €

Liquidità

2,9K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

80.0% / 82.0%

Spread

2.5%

Spread stretto

Variazione 7g

-5.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

9 feb 26, 23:3110 gen 27, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes81%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.

Mercati Correlati

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

3,6K €

2: 63%

POLYMARKET

Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026

849 €

432 or less: 0.4%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If AI kills everyone, how will it do it?

117,1 €

Engineered pandemic: 13.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?

84,5 €

Sì: 28.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

40,8 €

Genevieve: 4%

KALSHI

Natural Disaster in 2026?

37,4 €

Sì: 25%

POLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,702.01+1.68%

EthereumETH$1,655.40+1.08%

SolanaSOL$65.06+0.76%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.94%

XRPXRP$1.12-0.20%

BNBBNB$596.31+1.29%

Regole

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.