Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
Geopolitica
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
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Probabilità implicita attuale
Israel 100%In testa tra 38 esiti
Qualità del mercato
7 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 154 giorni fa
Obsoleto28 feb 26, 16:3731 mar 26, 0:00
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Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of a listed country on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage.
- Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted as Israel.
- Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Iran military action against ___ by March 31??
- Polymarket quota Israel al 100% al 31 marzo 2026.
- Quando si risolve Iran military action against ___ by March 31??
- Iran military action against ___ by March 31? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 marzo 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Iran military action against ___ by March 31??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of a listed country on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".