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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Middle East
  3. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

4.0% (24h)One-OffMiddle East18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 16%-0.0%
Qualita del mercato

89 / 100

Alta qualità
Volume 24h

412,3K €

Liquidità

122K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Spread moderato
Variazione 7g

-15.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

17 dic 25, 22:5430 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes16%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

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Manifold Markets

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Manifold Markets

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Will Iran actually participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,710.12+2.15%EthereumETH$1,652.78+1.48%SolanaSOL$65.08+1.65%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.44%XRPXRP$1.11+0.28%BNBBNB$595.48+1.63%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.