PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 83.2%-2.0pt
Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
955,5 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
12.0% / 21.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
2
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 25 minuti fa
16 dic 25, 0:361 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 180,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 altri esiti
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Supreme Court vacancy in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 83% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Supreme Court vacancy in 2026??
- Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Supreme Court vacancy in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.