KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 21, 2029 60%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
61,4K €
Alta liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
30 giu 26, 16:00 UTC1 ott 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed?
Manifold MarketsSupreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiRegole
If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Library of Congress
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and May 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per New Supreme Court justice confirmed??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 21, 2029 al 60% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve New Supreme Court justice confirmed??
- New Supreme Court justice confirmed? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato New Supreme Court justice confirmed??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.