How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
36.9 pt (24h)WeatherOne-Off1g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
10 or more states 62%-0.5ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
44,2 €
Liquidità
81,2 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
3 set 26, 13:01 UTC10 set 26, 13:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026
PolymarketNew York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiAt the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought?
Manifold MarketsWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExRegole
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
- Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii.
- The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 232,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 186,1K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 66,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6K €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026??
- Polymarket quota 10 or more states al 62% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026??
- How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 10 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.