PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Colorado 99%+4.8ptIn testa tra 40 esiti
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
83,2 €
Liquidità
1,8K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
3.9 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
3 set 26, 13:00 UTC10 set 26, 13:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
PolymarketNew York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiAt the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought?
Manifold MarketsWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for September: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026?
- Polymarket quota Colorado al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026?
- Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 10 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.