PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Eduardo Paes 83.8%-0.8ptIn testa tra 16 esiti
Qualità del mercato
85 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
4,3K €
Liquidità
342,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.5 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
7
Variazione 7g
+9.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
10 giu 26, 02:25 UTC5 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
PolymarketRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)?
Manifold MarketsElected Senators for Rio de Janeiro in 2026
Futuur🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold MarketsRegole
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? · Eduardo Paes 83%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 83%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026 · Eduardo Paes 72%
