KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Eduardo Paes 92.4%In testa tra 4 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,7K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
25 apr 26, 14:004 ott 27, 14:00
Trend
0%
Regole
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
4 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Eduardo Paes è del 92%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 24 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm Eduardo Paes 92% · 4 piattaforme · 24 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026 · Eduardo Paes 72%
Mercati aperti
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
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- Jon Ossoff11%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Rio de Janeiro Governor winner??
- Kalshi quota Eduardo Paes al 92% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Rio de Janeiro Governor winner??
- Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Rio de Janeiro Governor winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Rio de Janeiro Governor winner??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket, Limitless, Futuur.