Probabilità implicita attuale
32-35 31.1%+11.5ptIn testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
608,3 €
Liquidità
22,3K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
20.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+11.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
27 ago 26, 12:16 UTC5 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part.
- Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party.
- Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.