KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
28 or more 78%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
37 €
Liquidità
1,4K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
1 set 26, 02:00 UTC5 ott 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 28 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Elections Quebec
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either (a) the time for filing legal challenges has expired without challenge, (b) any legal challenges have been finally resolved, or (c) the elected member has taken their seat in the parliament/legislature.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of any subsequent changes in affiliation.
- The count will be determined when the new legislature takes their seat, even if vacant seats remain or some results are continuing to be challenged.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled election, unless the postponement extends beyond one year from the originally scheduled date, in which case the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
- If the election is cancelled entirely (that is, it is not Fully Conducted as defined in the Contract), the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Politics
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats??
- Kalshi quota 28 or more al 78% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats??
- Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 28 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.