Previsione della comunità attuale
Other 40.7%+0.7ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
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15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Variazione 7g
-9.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 35 minuti fa
12 ott 25, 16:57 UTC1 set 29, 22:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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This market resolves to the four largest parties by number of seats in the UK House of Commons following the next UK general election after the July 2024 election.
- Answers should have the form A > B > C > D, where A is the party with the most seats, B is the party with the second-highest number of seats, and so on.
- Note that this may not correspond to the four parties with the most votes, due to the UK's first-past-the-post electoral system.
- If there is a tie, this market will resolve to PROB, with all answers that are a valid order resolving equally (e.g. if the two largest parties A and B have the same number of seats, and parties C and D are the next largest and also tied, then four answers will resolve to 25% each, i.e. A > B > C > D; B > A > C > D; A > B > D > C; and B > A > D > C).
- Here are the top-four parties by seats for every election since 2000:
- 2024 election: Labour > Conservative > Lib Dem > SNP
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be the four largest parties at the next UK general election in order (by number of seats)??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 41% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be the four largest parties at the next UK general election in order (by number of seats)??
- What will be the four largest parties at the next UK general election in order (by number of seats)? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 settembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato What will be the four largest parties at the next UK general election in order (by number of seats)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves to the four largest parties by number of seats in the UK House of Commons following the next UK general election after the July 2024 election.