Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale5+ 63.9%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto27 mar 26, 20:07 UTC28 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If X happens in the Victorian state election, will the Coalition overtake One Nation in national polls in December 2026?
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The orange tide is sweeping the nation as the LNP brand collapses, but Victoria is the place One Nation finds it hardest to succeed - usually.
- What will happen this November?
- Question refers to Lower House seats only - i.e. seats in the Legislative assembly.
- (The legislative assembly is the Victoria equivalent of the house of representatives federally.
- The question does NOT include the upper house, i.e. the Legislative Council, which is the equivalent of the Senate.)
- It will be resolved ASAP after the election, which may mean after recounts and any court cases if they affect the answer!
