PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 97%-0.2pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
23,5 €
Liquidità
467,7 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
2.2% / 4.4%
Spread
2.2 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+1.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
5 nov 25, 17:46 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?
PolymarketWang Shi and Tian Pujun to announce divorce before 2027?
LimitlessWill Harry and Meghan divorce by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Prince Harry and Meghan Markle divorce/break up before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift divorce Travis Kelce within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsEmmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
- The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 342,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 182,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8K €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 264,6K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 84,3K €
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Obama divorce before 2027??
- Polymarket quota No al 97% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Obama divorce before 2027??
- Obama divorce before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Obama divorce before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.