PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 99%+0.1pt
Qualità del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
138,1 €
Liquidità
22,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.9%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
22 set 26, 21:02 UTC29 set 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?
PolymarketWill Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?
PolymarketFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
PolymarketEric Swalwell arrested by September 30?
PolymarketMasoud Pezeshkian out as President of Iran by ?
FutuurWill the Iran Nuclear Deal be revived under Iran's new president Masoud Pezeshkian?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
- (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
- The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify.
- The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff15.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 198,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 Mln €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.5pt91%
- Republican Party9%
- Volume totale
- 32,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 852,9K €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-7.0pt63.7%
- Susan Collins+9.0pt36.3%
- Volume totale
- 5,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 777K €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+0.9pt13%
+50 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-5.0pt60.6%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39.4%
- Volume totale
- 9,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 572,2K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-5.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate+4.0pt31%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt8%
+1 altri esiti
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Maine Senate Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28??
- Polymarket quota No al 99% al 25 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28??
- Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28? dovrebbe risolversi il 29 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.