July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

2.0 pts (24h)SpaceDailyWeather4g

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

1.20–1.24ºC 84.5%-3.0pt

In testa tra 6 esiti

Qualita del mercato

64 / 100

Qualità media

Volume 24h

1,5K €

Liquidità

11K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

5.0% / 9.0%

Spread

4.0 pt

Spread moderato

Variazione 7g

-4.5 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 minuti fa

9 giu 26, 17:141 ago 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

<1.10ºC

1.10–1.14ºC

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

1.20–1.24ºC87%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for July 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Trend del volume

$1.7k

5 lug23g di dati27 lug

Mercati Correlati

Global Average Temperature July 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)

61,5 €

July 2026 less than 1.095C: 0.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4,6K €

SpaceX: 87%

POLYMARKET

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

3,3K €

1st hottest: 91%

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

2,6K €

2: 55%

POLYMARKET

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

345,6 €

Sì: 33%

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

33,4 €

Sì: 35%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$65,007.25+0.57%

EthereumETH$1,944.21+2.70%

SolanaSOL$76.07+1.49%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.09%

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-1.35%

BNBBNB$571.05-0.13%

Notizie Correlate

Alphabet’s $1 billion SpaceX gamble balloons into a $94 billion stakeCrypto News

SpaceX stock sinks to post-IPO low after Starship launch abortCrypto News

SpaceX slips below $140 despite FAA clearing Starship for launchCrypto News

FireSat Launches 3 Satellites to Boost Wildfire DetectionBlockchain.News

Regole

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for July 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

2.0 pts (24h)SpaceDailyWeather4g

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

1.20–1.24ºC 84.5%-3.0pt

In testa tra 6 esiti

Qualita del mercato

64 / 100

Qualità media

Volume 24h

1,5K €

Liquidità

11K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

5.0% / 9.0%

Spread

4.0 pt

Spread moderato

Variazione 7g

-4.5 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 minuti fa

9 giu 26, 17:141 ago 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

<1.10ºC

1.10–1.14ºC

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

1.20–1.24ºC87%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for July 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Trend del volume

$1.7k

5 lug23g di dati27 lug

Mercati Correlati

Global Average Temperature July 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)

61,5 €

July 2026 less than 1.095C: 0.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4,6K €

SpaceX: 87%

POLYMARKET

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

3,3K €

1st hottest: 91%

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

2,6K €

2: 55%

POLYMARKET

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

345,6 €

Sì: 33%

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

33,4 €

Sì: 35%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$65,007.25+0.57%

EthereumETH$1,944.21+2.70%

SolanaSOL$76.07+1.49%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.09%

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-1.35%

BNBBNB$571.05-0.13%

Notizie Correlate

Alphabet’s $1 billion SpaceX gamble balloons into a $94 billion stakeCrypto News

SpaceX stock sinks to post-IPO low after Starship launch abortCrypto News

SpaceX slips below $140 despite FAA clearing Starship for launchCrypto News

FireSat Launches 3 Satellites to Boost Wildfire DetectionBlockchain.News

Regole

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for July 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.