Probabilità implicita attuale
1st hottest 47%+0.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,1K €
Liquidità
6,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
20.0% / 38.0%
Spread
90.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
6 lug 26, 18:4931 lug 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
1st hottest47%
Trend del volume
$2.4k7 lug3g di dati9 lug
Mercati Correlati
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
189,8 €Sì: 24%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Global Average Temperature July 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
77,6 €July 2026 less than 1.095C: 8.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
35,4 €Sì: 23%KALSHI
KALSHIGlobal Average Temperature June 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
0,1 €June 2026 less than 1.095C: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
0 €1.20–1.24ºC: 59%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
13,2K €Before July 17th: 28%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 versus the data points available for all other Julys on record.
- Note: If July 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.