Israel military action against Gaza on?
Geopolitica
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
April 3 100%+57.5ptIn testa tra 30 esiti
Qualità del mercato
7 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 142 giorni fa
Obsoleto24 mar 26, 17:1430 apr 26, 0:00
Trend
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Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
- A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Israel military action against Gaza on??
- Polymarket quota April 3 al 100% al 12 aprile 2026.
- Quando si risolve Israel military action against Gaza on??
- Israel military action against Gaza on? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 aprile 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Israel military action against Gaza on??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".