Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
0.5 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticaMiddle EastChina3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 92%+0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
8,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
2 set 26, 16:39 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers before Xi Jinping visits the United States.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither a qualifying announcement nor a Xi Jinping visit to the United States occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US??
- Polymarket quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US??
- Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.