PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
<$30B 27.3%+3.1ptIn testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
10,7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
61.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-2.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
21 mag 26, 17:18 UTC31 dic 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
- The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
- Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
- Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds.
- Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
- If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 96,6K €
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- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO??
- Polymarket quota <$30B al 27% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO??
- How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.