Houthi military action against Israel by which date?
Geopolitica
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: April 15
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
April 15 100%+74.0pt
Qualità del mercato
7 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 154 giorni fa
Obsoleto20 mar 26, 14:2830 apr 26, 0:00
Trend
99%
100%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
- Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Houthi military action against Israel by which date??
- Polymarket quota April 15 al 100% al 31 marzo 2026.
- Quando si risolve Houthi military action against Israel by which date??
- Houthi military action against Israel by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 aprile 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Houthi military action against Israel by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".