Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
1.5 pt (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffPoliticaLatin AmericaGeopolitica3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 4%-1.5ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
882,2 €
Liquidità
20,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
23
Variazione 7g
-1.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
18 mag 26, 14:12 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration.
- Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
- A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
- Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
