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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

2.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticaLatin America18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31
December 31 20%
In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualita del mercato

89 / 100

Alta qualità
Volume 24h

4,7K €

Liquidità

39,5K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

5.8% / 6.0%

Spread

3.5%

Spread moderato
Variazione 7g

+1.9%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

18 mag 26, 14:1630 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
May 31
May 31
0%

Esito scelto

December 3120%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration.
  • Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
  • A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
  • Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,806.80+2.19%EthereumETH$1,657.71+1.65%SolanaSOL$65.21+1.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.51%XRPXRP$1.12+0.35%BNBBNB$596.32+1.80%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration.
  • Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
  • A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
  • Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.