Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82.2%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo22 nov 25, 17:01 UTC1 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Raúl Castro, born June 3, 1931, dies before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be confirmed through major news outlets reporting his death.
- The market resolves NO if he remains alive through December 31, 2026.
- Raúl Castro served as President of Cuba between 2008 and 2018 and announced his retirement at the Eighth Congress of the Communist Party of Cuba in April 2021.
- The retired general is 94 years old as of October 2025.
