Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by...?
US PoliticsOne-OffPoliticaGeopoliticaLatin America5m
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Dati al 27 lug 2026, 17:10 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attualeDecember 31 19%-2.5pt
Qualita del mercato
25 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
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1,1K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Variazione 7g
-0.7 pts
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Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
18 mag 26, 14:1231 dic 26, 0:00
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0%
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December 3119%
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$85 lug5g di dati11 lug
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.
- Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
- A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
- Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.