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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Central Banks
  3. ECB Interest Rates: July 2026
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

14.0% (24h)One-OffCentral Banks1m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
No change
No change 75%-16.0%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato

73 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

6,2K €

Liquidità

47,7K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

18.0% / 24.0%

Spread

33.3%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

+1.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

30 apr 26, 18:3223 lug 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
50+ bps increase
50+ bps increase
0%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
0%

Esito scelto

No change75%

Regole

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).

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Cut 1-25bps: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskThe Fed has a new chair. What it means for cryptoCrypto NewsHKMA Warns of Fraudulent Websites Targeting e-HKD InvestorsBlockchain.News

Regole

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).