PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 90.1%-1.0pt
Qualità del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
190,5 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
7.0% / 12.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
2
Variazione 7g
+2.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
3 dic 25, 00:09 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In What Year will the Costco Hotdog Combo cost more than $1.50?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call?
KalshiCostco Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiCostco Foot Traffic in September
KalshiWould Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs.
- As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 323,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 523K €
- Volume 24h
- 22K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,4K €
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Egg prices up in August?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Costco increases hotdog price before 2027??
- Polymarket quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Costco increases hotdog price before 2027??
- Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Costco increases hotdog price before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs.