PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Texas 13.8%+14.3ptIn testa tra 18 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
34,9 €
Liquidità
104,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
32.2 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 30 minuti fa
29 giu 26, 20:05 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Closest Governor race in 2026?
KalshiTexas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsMassachusetts Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold Markets2026 Texas Governor Race
Robinhood (Rothera)2026 California Governor Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Regole
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
- If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 133,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 947,3K €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 194,6 Mln €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume totale
- 28,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 523,8K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volume totale
- 30,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 493,5K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Closest Governor's Race??
- Polymarket quota Texas al 13.8% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Closest Governor's Race??
- Closest Governor's Race? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Closest Governor's Race??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.