Probabilità implicita attuale
<1.10ºC 38%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
26 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
17,6 €
Liquidità
696,8 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
9.0% / 66.0%
Spread
57.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
28 lug 26, 17:501 set 26, 3:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
<1.10ºC38%
Trend del volume
$2028 lug2g di dati29 lug
Mercati Correlati
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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
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KALSHI
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
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KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
- An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.