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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

0.5% (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesYearlyMacro & Economy6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 28%
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

853,9 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

13.0% / 43.0%

Spread

230.8%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

+8.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

5 nov 25, 20:0031 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes28%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Mercati Correlati

US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

1,5 €
Sì: 34%KalshiKALSHI
Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?

Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?

0 €
Sì: 14%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Who will be the first trillionaire?

4,5K €
Elon Musk: 97.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

544,4 €
More than $1 trillion: 93%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?

470,6 €
Sì: 30.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

400,9 €
Apple: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,676.43+1.63%EthereumETH$1,655.09+1.13%SolanaSOL$65.02+0.81%HyperliquidHYPE$55.80+0.65%XRPXRP$1.12-0.15%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.03%

Notizie Correlate

Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraphCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsBitcoin price $60K support not yet safe as more macro headwinds stack up CointelegraphGold slips below 200-day moving average offering glimmer of hope for bitcoin bullsCoindeskU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.