KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 90%
Qualità del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
51,3 €
Liquidità
28,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
1 gen 26, 05:01 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Brazil’s sovereign credit rating be downgraded by Fitch, Moody’s, or S&P in 2026?
FutuurDrop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurDrop in Mexico’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketWill MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
PolymarketWill S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 282,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,2K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,1K €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3K €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 altri esiti
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US credit rating downgrade in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 90% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve US credit rating downgrade in 2026??
- US credit rating downgrade in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato US credit rating downgrade in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.