Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAMI goes public by Dec 31, 2030, through IPO, SPAC, RTO, or any other mechanism on any exchange 59.8%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto10 mar 26, 20:36 UTC10 mar 27, 20:36 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
Tracks Yann LeCun's AMI Labs after $1.03B seed raise at $3.5B valuation and CEO Alex LeBrun hire, focusing on world-model AI progress vs. LLM dominance.
- AI-managed market.
- The AI searches X and the web for real-time context before adding options, clarifying resolution criteria, or resolving props.
- /add-option — suggest a new prop.
- AI researches it, then adds if unique and interesting.
- /clarify-resolution — ask what an option means and how it resolves.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Yann LeCun's AMI (props)?
- Manifold Markets quota AMI goes public by Dec 31, 2030, through IPO, SPAC, RTO, or any other mechanism on any exchange al 60% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Yann LeCun's AMI (props)?
- Yann LeCun's AMI (props) dovrebbe risolversi il 10 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Yann LeCun's AMI (props)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Tracks Yann LeCun's AMI Labs after $1.03B seed raise at $3.5B valuation and CEO Alex LeBrun hire, focusing on world-model AI progress vs. LLM dominance.