Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029??

Manifold Markets quota No al 85% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029??

Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 22 novembre 2029.

Come viene liquidato Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if he agrees with this publicly.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.6pt95%
• December 15,+1.5pt93%
• November 30,-1.0pt88%

+15 altri esiti

Volume totale

5,4 Mln €

Volume 24h

111,2K €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt31.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.6pt22.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.2pt16.2%

+7 altri esiti

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-1.4pt58.8%
• Gemini-0.8pt29.9%
• ChatGPT+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+5.7pt97%
• Anthropic-5.3pt3%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 altri esiti

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Jan 1, 202793.5%

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-7.0pt23%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.6pt20%
• $1.5T–$1.75T+2.0pt20%

+5 altri esiti

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