Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto17 gen 24, 17:42 UTC1 mar 30, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will an accident involving miniaturized fusion reactors wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2041?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2030 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
