Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 76.6%
Previsori
75
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto17 gen 24, 10:00 UTC1 mar 31, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2041?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
Manifold MarketsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiFDA decision: Ivonescimab by Summit Therapeutics (in 2026)
KalshiWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRegole
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2031 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
Mercati aperti
China
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 38,7K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume totale
- 356,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11K €
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we get fusion reactors before 2031??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 77% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will we get fusion reactors before 2031??
- Will we get fusion reactors before 2031? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will we get fusion reactors before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2031 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).