Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 14:28 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 79.5%
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto11 feb 24, 15:03 UTC1 mar 00, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsWhat will come first Superconductor or Cure for cancer? (Yes Conductor, No Cancer)
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?
Manifold MarketsNew pandemic before 2028?
PolymarketMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer.
- In the context of this question the threshold for "we get a cure for cancer" is defined as: 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Numeric markets:
- @/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc
- Discovery of alien life questions:
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-031ec0858fcc
