Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 55.3%
Previsori
40
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto13 gen 24, 23:17 UTC1 mar 00, 22:59 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we get AGI before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 25, 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at room temperature and ambient pressure has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life
- Room temperature superconductors:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194
