KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 96%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
2.0% / 4.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
13 mag 26, 22:00 UTC2 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill artificial room temperature intelligence exist by 2027? (Fahrenheit)
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get room temperature superconductors?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRegole
If a peer-reviewed paper published in an eligible journal reports the discovery of a material exhibiting the Meissner effect at ambient pressure with a critical temperature of at least 240 K before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Kalshi
- Eligible journals are those in the first quartile (Q1) of SCImago's condensed matter physics ranking or any journal with an SJR above 1.0.
- The material need not be a previously researched substance.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 232,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 186,1K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 66,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6K €
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- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026??
- Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a peer-reviewed paper published in an eligible journal reports the discovery of a material exhibiting the Meissner effect at ambient pressure with a critical temperature of at least 240 K before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.